I agree, 10% is huge. I only started using Wayland a handful of years ago and I would consider myself a somewhat early adopter of technology. Just about transition will follow a roughly sigmoid adoption curve. The first tiny fraction will switch soon, then the early adopters. Now we are at the point where most major distros are all shipping it by default and LTS releases where it wasn’t the default are dropping out of support. There are still a couple of big blockers such as some graphics drivers but when those drop even more people will transition by default. 10% is significantly more than just early adopters so I would expect that as more and more people fall into the “enabled by default” category the number will steadily rise to 90% over the next 3-5 years. Then it will slow down as the final blockers are eliminated and the resistors finally give in.